• !Politics Podcast: The Trump And Putin Show
    The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team reacts to the Monday press conference of President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, during which Trump sided with Putin over U.S. intelligence agencies on the question of whether Russia interfered…
    - 12 hours ago 16 Jul 18, 8:48pm -
  • !Americans Know Where They Stand On The Mueller Investigation
    Friday’s news that the Justice Department had indicted 12 Russian agents in connection with interference in the 2016 U.S. elections was a major development in the fast-moving Robert Mueller investigation. But that doesn’t mean it will change anyo…
    - 22 hours ago 16 Jul 18, 10:45am -
  • !Significant Digits For Monday, July 16, 2018
    You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. 4 pitch invaders The 2018 World Cup came to an end yesterday. France won, and it is now unclear how I am going to spend my days. During the 52nd minute of the…
    - 22 hours ago 16 Jul 18, 10:42am -
  • France Is Only Going To Get Better
    The 2018 World Cup final didn’t disappoint (though this website predicted that it might). France beat Croatia 4-2 in a match that yielded more goals than the previous three finals combined. For Croatia’s golden generation, this might have been th…
    - 1 day ago 15 Jul 18, 11:09pm -
  • World Cup 2018 Final: France vs. Croatia

    - 2 days ago 15 Jul 18, 2:48pm -

Andrew Gelman

  • !The “Carl Sagan effect”
    Javier Benítez writes: I am not in academia, but I have learned a lot about science from what’s available to the public. But I also didn’t know that public outreach is looked down upon by academia. See the Carl Sagan Effect. Susana Martinez-Cond…
    - 20 hours ago 16 Jul 18, 1:13pm -
  • Mister P wins again
    Chad Kiewiet De Jonge, Gary Langer, and Sofi Sinozich write: This paper presents state-level estimates of the 2016 presidential election using data from the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll and multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP…
    - 1 day ago 16 Jul 18, 2:00am -
  • The course of science
    Shravan Vasishth sends this along: Yup. Not always, though. Even though the above behavior is rewarded.The post The course of science appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
    - 2 days ago 15 Jul 18, 1:34pm -
  • What happens to your career when you have to retract a paper?
    In response to our recent post on retractions, Josh Krieger sends along two papers he worked on with Pierre Azoulay, Jeff Furman, Fiona Murray, and Alessandro Bonatti. Krieger writes, “Both papers are about the spillover effects of retractions on o…
    - 3 days ago 14 Jul 18, 1:34pm -
  • “Bayesian Meta-Analysis with Weakly Informative Prior Distributions”
    Donny Williams sends along this paper, with Philippe Rast and Paul-Christian Bürkner, and writes: This paper is similar to the Chung et al. avoiding boundary estimates papers (here and here), but we use fully Bayesian methods, and specifically the h…
    - 4 days ago 13 Jul 18, 1:17pm -

NYTimes - The UpShot

  • !The 6 most bizarre moments from Trump’s post-Putin interview with Sean Hannity
    The president claims that the Mueller investigation is driving a “wedge” between US-Russia relations. President Trump’s pre-taped interview with personal cheerleader and Fox News host Sean Hannity on Monday night mostly provided Trump a chance…
    - 5 hours ago 17 Jul 18, 3:52am -
  • !Vox Sentences: Putin on a show
    Vox Sentences is your daily digest for what’s happening in the world. Sign up for the Vox Sentences newsletter, delivered straight to your inbox Monday through Friday, or view the Vox Sentences archive for past editions.The world watches as Trump…
    - 9 hours ago 17 Jul 18, 12:00am -
  • !Donald Trump is not delusional
    White House aides want you to believe the president stands with Putin because he doesn’t get what’s going on. Top aides at the White House are peddling a remarkable excuse for President Donald Trump’s embarrassing performance at a press confer…
    - 11 hours ago 16 Jul 18, 10:02pm -
  • !Charlotte almost voted to stop the 2020 Republican convention from coming to town
    Despite determined progressive activism, Charlotte’s City Council agreed to host the RNC. The national Republican Party wants to host President Donald Trump’s expected 2020 nomination for a second presidential term in Charlotte, North Carolina. A…
    - 11 hours ago 16 Jul 18, 9:55pm -
  • !Arthur Brooks recommends 3 books that challenged him to be better
    The president of the American Enterprise Institute appeared on The Ezra Klein Show to talk about how to disagree well. Arthur Brooks is the president of the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank on public policy. As one might imagi…
    - 11 hours ago 16 Jul 18, 9:50pm -

Simply Statistics

  • Teaching R to New Users - From tapply to the Tidyverse
    AbstractThe intentional ambiguity of the R language, inherited from the S language, is one of its defining features. Is it an interactive system for data analysis or is it a sophisticated programming language for software developers? The ability of…
    - 5 days ago 12 Jul 18, 12:00am -
  • What Should be Done When Data Have Creators?
    I was listening to the podcast The West Wing Weekly recently and Episode 4.17 (“Red Haven’s on Fire”) featured former staff writer Lauren Schmidt Hissrich. In introducing her, the podcast co-hosts mentioned that Hissrich was a writer for the Ne…
    - 11 days ago 6 Jul 18, 12:00am -
  • Cultural Differences in Map Data Visualization
    Matthew Panzarino had an interesting article in TechCrunch on Apple’s process for rebuilding their Maps app. While most of the article describes the laborious process of data collection, one part jumped out at me, which was the team that Panzarino…
    - 17 days ago 30 Jun 18, 12:00am -
  • Creativity in Data Analysis
    I’ve often heard that there is a need for data analysts to be creative in their work. But why? Where and how exactly is that creativity exercised?On one extreme, it could be thought that a data analyst should be easily replaced by a machine. For…
    - 21 days ago 26 Jun 18, 12:00am -
  • The Role of Resources in Data Analysis
    When learning about data analysis in school, you don’t hear much about the role that resources—time, money, and technology—play in the development of analysis. This is a conversation that is often had “in the hallway” when talking to senior…
    - 29 days ago 18 Jun 18, 12:00am -

WSJ - The Numbers Guy

  • A Note to Readers
    Dear readers, The Numbers blog will no longer be updated as of July 2017. We will continue to look at the use of numbers in news, business and politics in our weekly column, and you can follow us on Twitter for the latest updates. Additionally, yo…
    - 3 Jul 17, 1:00pm -
  • Retirement Calculators, Assumptions and Statistical Methods
    Retirement calculators employ different assumptions to help users predict whether their rate of savings will support their current lifestyle after they quit work.
    - 22 Jul 16, 6:16pm -
  • Boomers, Gen Xers and Millennials: Catchall Groupings
    Generational groupings are attractive to academics who want to measure social and cultural change. They’re coveted by marketers looking to capitalize on evolving consumer tastes. And they appeal to others seeking to exploit the perceived psyche of…
    - 15 Jul 16, 6:02pm -
  • Economists’ Enemy: Residual Seasonality
    When seasonally adjusted numbers continue to exhibit the influences of seasonal effects, much as first-quarter readings on gross domestic product have regularly been doing, statisticians refer to it as residual seasonality. And that effect hampers se…
    - 1 Jul 16, 8:33pm -
  • How Math Helps Fight Epidemics Like Zika
    When an epidemic such as Zika threatens to sweep across the country, public-health workers and policy makers need some basic information in order to plan a strategic response to make the best use of limited resources to protect the public from the sp…
    - 3 Jun 16, 5:19pm -


The Big Picture

  • !Modern financial repression in the euro area crisis: making high public debt sustainable?
    The post Modern financial repression in the euro area crisis: making high public debt sustainable? appeared first on The Big Picture.
    - 10 mins ago 17 Jul 18, 9:00am -
  • !Rumble on Wall Street: Hyman vs Rosenberg post Rumble on Wall Street: Hyman vs Rosenberg appeared first on The Big Picture.
    - 11 hours ago 16 Jul 18, 10:00pm -
  • !How is Your Retirement Savings Going?
    The Good and the Bad of Retirement Saving Americans are socking away more. It’s still not enough. Bloomberg, July 9, 2018     Each year, Vanguard Group releases its annual review of the state of retirement savings in America, focusing on the 401(…
    - 20 hours ago 16 Jul 18, 1:00pm -
  • !10 Monday AM Reads
    My back to work morning train reads: • Foreign investment in the United States plunged 32% in 2017 (CNN Money) • Unlike most millennials, Norway’s are rich (BBC) • The fallacy that became itself a fallacy (Medium) • How the Kremlin cr…
    - 21 hours ago 16 Jul 18, 12:07pm -
  • The Economics of Subsidizing Sports Stadiums
    The post The Economics of Subsidizing Sports Stadiums appeared first on The Big Picture.
    - 1 day ago 16 Jul 18, 9:00am -

Kaggle - No Free Hunch

  • Data Notes: How to Forecast the S&P 500 with Prophet
    Welcome to Kaggle Data Notes! Stock markets, political parties, and extraterrestrials: Enjoy these new, intriguing, and overlooked datasets and kernels. 1. S&P 500 Simple Forecasting with Prophet (link) 2. 📚 arXiv Data Analysis: Computation and L…
    - 5 days ago 12 Jul 18, 6:15pm -
  • Data Notes: Your smartphone knows *what*?
    Welcome to Kaggle Data Notes! Mushrooms, rats, and smartphones: Enjoy these new, intriguing, and overlooked datasets and kernels.   1. 📞 What Does Your Smartphone Know About You? (link) 2. ⚽ Another World Cup 2018 Predictions Kernel (link) 3.…
    - 19 days ago 28 Jun 18, 5:52pm -
  • Open Source Datasets with Kaggle
    This post was written by Vanessa Sochat, a Research Software Engineer for Stanford Research Computing and the Stanford School of Medicine. She is the primary developer at Stanford for Singularity, a driver to bring Research Applications support to S…
    - 26 days ago 21 Jun 18, 7:42pm -
  • Profiling Top Kagglers: Martin Henze (AKA Heads or Tails), World's First Kernels Grandmaster
    Let me begin by introducing myself: My name is Martin. I'm an astrophysics postdoc working on understanding exploding stars in nearby galaxies. From the very beginning of my studies, I was using data analysis to try to unveil the mysteries of the uni…
    - 28 days ago 19 Jun 18, 6:50am -
  • Data Notes: Predict the World Cup 2018 Winner
    Welcome to Kaggle Data Notes! Enjoy these new, intriguing, and overlooked datasets and kernels:   1. ⚽Predict the World Cup 2018 Winner (link) 2. 🐍 R vs Python Usage from Developer Survey Results (link) 3.  Breast Cancer Analysis and Diagnos…
    - 33 days ago 14 Jun 18, 5:01pm -