FiveThirtyEight

  • !Significant Digits For Tuesday, Sept. 19, 2017
    You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. 14 quarterbacks Colin Kaepernick is a historical anomaly. There have been only 14 other quarterbacks who were (i) not yet 30, (ii) had thrown 200 passes or mor…
    - 3 hours ago 19 Sep 17, 12:02pm -
  • !The (Very) Long Tail Of Hurricane Recovery
    On Sept. 8, someone in New York City dialed 311, the city’s non-emergency hotline, and asked for information about a Hurricane Sandy disaster relief program. This was not a fluke. It’s been nearly five years since the storm devastated the mid-Atl…
    - 5 hours ago 19 Sep 17, 10:00am -
  • !Republicans Really Could Repeal Obamacare This Time
    Republicans are only a handful of votes short in the party’s latest attempt to repeal the Affordable Care Act. And one of the key “no” votes from July, Sen. John McCain of Arizona, could flip to “yes,” since Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey has endo…
    - 18 hours ago 18 Sep 17, 9:15pm -
  • !Politics Podcast: Should Democrats Move Left?
    About a dozen high-profile Democrats came out last week in favor of Sen. Bernie Sanders’s single payer health care bill. At about the same time, Hillary Clinton accused Sanders of disrupting the Democratic Party with unrealistic policy proposals du…
    - 18 hours ago 18 Sep 17, 8:43pm -
  • !Eli Manning Is Profoundly Mediocre
    Even after Eli Manning’s 200 consecutive regular-season NFL starts, quantifying his career is difficult. Manning is in his 14th season, and nearly every one has felt like a crossroads. Which quarterback would show up for the Giants: the one capable…
    - 19 hours ago 18 Sep 17, 8:18pm -

Andrew Gelman

  • !As if the 2010s never happened
    E. J. writes: I’m sure I’m not the first to send you this beauty. Actually, E. J., you’re the only one who sent me this! It’s a news article, “Can the fear of death instantly make you a better athlete?”, reporting on a psychology experime…
    - 2 hours ago 19 Sep 17, 1:10pm -
  • Maybe this paper is a parody, maybe it’s a semibluff
    Peter DeScioli writes: I was wondering if you saw this paper about people reading Harry Potter and then disliking Trump, attached. It seems to fit the shark attack genre. In this case, the issue seems to be judging causation from multiple regression…
    - 1 day ago 18 Sep 17, 1:17pm -
  • Where does the discussion go?

    - 2 days ago 17 Sep 17, 1:26pm -
  • Extended StanCon 2018 Deadline!
    (this post is by Betancourt) We received an ensemble of exciting submissions for StanCon2018, but some of our colleagues requested a little bit of extra time to put the finishing touches on their submissions.  Being the generous organizers that we…
    - 3 days ago 17 Sep 17, 2:35am -
  • Type M errors in the wild—really the wild!
    Jeremy Fox points me to this article, “Underappreciated problems of low replication in ecological field studies,” by Nathan Lemoine, Ava Hoffman, Andrew Felton, Lauren Baur, Francis Chaves, Jesse Gray, Qiang Yu, and Melinda Smith, who write: The…
    - 3 days ago 16 Sep 17, 1:11pm -

NYTimes - The UpShot

Vox.com

  • !Louisiana health secretary warns Sen. Bill Cassidy: your bill hurts our state
    Louisiana’s Health Secretary Rebekah Gee wants Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA) to know his health care proposal — the last Republican proposal to repeal and replace Obamacare — “uniquely and disproportionately hurts his home state of Louisiana.”G…
    - 11 mins ago 19 Sep 17, 2:50pm -
  • !The economy really is broken — but we know how to fix it
    Median household income is back to its 1999 level. Hooray? Census data released last week revealed that 2016 was a second straight strong year for median household income growth. Consequently, inflation-adjusted median household income is now at an a…
    - 41 mins ago 19 Sep 17, 2:20pm -
  • !Hurricane Maria heads toward Puerto Rico: what we know
    The Eastern Caribbean is still reeling from Irma. Now it’s in the path of a new Category 5 storm. It’s been less than two weeks since Hurricane Irma slammed into the Eastern Caribbean as a Category 4 storm, devastating many of the tiny islands in…
    - 47 mins ago 19 Sep 17, 2:14pm -
  • !I write political thrillers. The Trump era keeps spoiling my books.
    In Trump’s America, why bother with fiction when reality is beyond belief? Let me run an idea for a novel past you. Tell me what you think. What if a reality star became president? And he could be a Russian mole.Wait. There’s more. I’m going t…
    - 51 mins ago 19 Sep 17, 2:10pm -
  • !Reports: Paul Manafort was wiretapped, has been told to expect an indictment
    Two new stories about Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation were published Monday night. A pair of new reports on the Russia investigation published Monday night suggest that Donald Trump’s former campaign chair, Paul Manafort, is in very serious…
    - 58 mins ago 19 Sep 17, 2:03pm -

Simply Statistics

  • !Recording Podcasts with a Remote Co-Host
    I previously wrote about my editing workflow for podcasts and I thought I’d follow up with some details on how I record both Not So Standard Deviations and The Effort Report. This post is again going to be a bit Mac-specific because, well, that’s…
    - 9 hours ago 20 Sep 17, 12:00am -
  • Editing Podcasts with Logic Pro X
    I thought I’d write a brief description of how I edit podcasts using Logic Pro X because when I was first getting into podcasts, I didn’t find a lot of useful stuff out there. A lot of it was YouTube videos of advanced editing or very basic stuff…
    - 2 days ago 18 Sep 17, 12:00am -
  • Specialization and Communication in Data Science
    I have been interested for a while now in how data scientists can better communicate data analysis activities to each other and to people outside the field. I believe that our current methods are inadequate because they have mostly been borrowed from…
    - 9 days ago 11 Sep 17, 12:00am -
  • Moon Shots Cost More Than You Think
    In a deeply reported article, Casey Ross and Ike Swetlitz report that IBM’s Watson isn’t living up to its hype when it comes to cancer care:The interviews suggest that IBM, in its rush to bolster flagging revenue, unleashed a product without f…
    - 13 days ago 7 Sep 17, 12:00am -
  • Deep Dive - Y. Ogata's Residual Analysis for Point Processes
    For a long time now—actually ever since we started the blog—I’ve wanted to do a series of deep dives into specific papers that I thought were great. Clearly, it’s taken a bit longer than I expected, but I figure better late than never. Actual…
    - 16 days ago 4 Sep 17, 12:00am -

WSJ - The Numbers Guy

  • A Note to Readers
    Dear readers, The Numbers blog will no longer be updated as of July 2017. We will continue to look at the use of numbers in news, business and politics in our weekly column, and you can follow us on Twitter for the latest updates. Additionally, yo…
    - 78 days ago 3 Jul 17, 1:00pm -
  • Retirement Calculators, Assumptions and Statistical Methods
    Retirement calculators employ different assumptions to help users predict whether their rate of savings will support their current lifestyle after they quit work.
    - 22 Jul 16, 6:16pm -
  • Boomers, Gen Xers and Millennials: Catchall Groupings
    Generational groupings are attractive to academics who want to measure social and cultural change. They’re coveted by marketers looking to capitalize on evolving consumer tastes. And they appeal to others seeking to exploit the perceived psyche of…
    - 15 Jul 16, 6:02pm -
  • Economists’ Enemy: Residual Seasonality
    When seasonally adjusted numbers continue to exhibit the influences of seasonal effects, much as first-quarter readings on gross domestic product have regularly been doing, statisticians refer to it as residual seasonality. And that effect hampers se…
    - 1 Jul 16, 8:33pm -
  • How Math Helps Fight Epidemics Like Zika
    When an epidemic such as Zika threatens to sweep across the country, public-health workers and policy makers need some basic information in order to plan a strategic response to make the best use of limited resources to protect the public from the sp…
    - 3 Jun 16, 5:19pm -

Statspotting!

The Big Picture

Kaggle - No Free Hunch