FiveThirtyEight

  • The Way Everybody Measures NFL Schedule Strength? It’s Wrong.
    After Thursday night’s two-hour special on the NFL Network, we now know exactly what every NFL team’s schedule looks like for the upcoming season. But what we don’t know is how hard any of those schedules will be. Every year when the schedules…
    - 3 days ago 20 Apr 18, 6:05pm -
  • Players Have Crowned A New Best Board Game — And It May Be Tough To Topple
    If we’re living in a golden age of board games, then the website BoardGameGeek is the internet’s sifting pan. The bounty of games overfloweth — one can now sit down at a table with friends and settle strange and bountiful islands, fight Cold Wa…
    - 3 days ago 20 Apr 18, 1:56pm -
  • Significant Digits For Friday, April 20, 2018
    You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. 4 votes In a 4-to-1 vote, the Securities and Exchange Commission has approved a new rule regarding the responsibilities of brokers to their clients. An earlier…
    - 3 days ago 20 Apr 18, 12:16pm -
  • How To Cross The Street
    Welcome to The Riddler. Every week, I offer up problems related to the things we hold dear around here: math, logic and probability. There are two types: Riddler Express for those of you who want something bite-size and Riddler Classic for those of y…
    - 3 days ago 20 Apr 18, 12:00pm -
  • Republicans And Democrats Should Be Worried About 2020
    Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll of the week The electorate in 2020 is likely to be similar to 2016’s. This should worry people in both parties — for different reasons, of course. Our poll of the week is not technically o…
    - 3 days ago 20 Apr 18, 9:38am -

Andrew Gelman

  • !Individual and aggregate causal effects: Social media and depression among teenagers
    This one starts out as a simple story of correction of a statistical analysis and turns into an interesting discussion of causal inference for multilevel models. Michael Daly writes: I saw your piece on ‘Have Smartphone Destroyed a Generation’ an…
    - 16 hours ago 22 Apr 18, 3:35pm -
  • !There’s nothing embarrassing about self-citation
    Someone sent me an email writing that one of my papers “has an embarrassing amount of self-citation.” I’m sorry that this person is embarrassed on my behalf. I’m not embarrassed at all. If I wrote something in the past that’s relevant, it m…
    - 18 hours ago 22 Apr 18, 1:33pm -
  • What is “blogging”? Is it different from “writing”?
    Thomas Basbøll wrote: To blog is not to write in a particular style, or publish in a particular form. Rather, blogging is an experience that is structured by a particular functionality. . . . What makes it a blog is a structural coordination of the…
    - 2 days ago 21 Apr 18, 1:07pm -
  • Carol Nickerson investigates an unfounded claim of “17 replications”
    Carol Nickerson sends along this report in which she carefully looks into the claim that the effect of power posing on feelings of power has replicated 17 times. Also relevant to the discussion is this post from a few months ago by Joe Simmons, Leif…
    - 3 days ago 20 Apr 18, 1:13pm -
  • Pastagate!
    [relevant picture] In a news article, “Pasta Is Good For You, Say Scientists Funded By Big Pasta,” Stephanie Lee writes: The headlines were a fettuccine fanatic’s dream. “Eating Pasta Linked to Weight Loss in New Study,” Newsweek reported t…
    - 3 days ago 19 Apr 18, 8:45pm -

NYTimes - The UpShot

Vox.com

Simply Statistics

  • Process versus outcome productivity
    Several times over the last few weeks my hatred of Doodle polls has come up in meetings. I think the polling technology is great, but I’m still frustrated by the polls. Someone asked what I’d rather have happen and I said:“set the meeting, t…
    - 4 days ago 19 Apr 18, 12:00am -
  • What is a Successful Data Analysis?
    Defining success in data analysis has eluded me for quite some time now. About two years ago I tried to explore this question in my Dean’s Lecture, but ultimately I think I missed the mark. In that talk I tried to identify standards (I called them…
    - 6 days ago 17 Apr 18, 12:00am -
  • Input on the Draft NIH Strategic Plan for Data Science
    The NIH is soliciting input for their Strategic Plan for Data Science. If you are interested, today, April 2, is the deadline. You can provide input here. Below is what I plan to submit.SummaryMy main critique is that the report is somewhat vagu…
    - 21 days ago 2 Apr 18, 12:00am -
  • What do Fahrenheit, comma separated files, and markdown have in common?
    Anil Dash asked people what their favorite file format was. David Robinson replied:CSV is similar to Markdown. No one global standard (though there are attempts) but a damn good attempt at "Whatever humans think it is at a glance, they're probably r…
    - 74 days ago 8 Feb 18, 12:00am -
  • Some datasets for teaching data science
    In this post I describe the dslabs package, which contains some datasets that I use in my data science courses.A much discussed topic in stats education is that computing should play a more prominent role in the curriculum. I strongly agree, but I t…
    - 91 days ago 22 Jan 18, 12:00am -

WSJ - The Numbers Guy

  • A Note to Readers
    Dear readers, The Numbers blog will no longer be updated as of July 2017. We will continue to look at the use of numbers in news, business and politics in our weekly column, and you can follow us on Twitter for the latest updates. Additionally, yo…
    - 3 Jul 17, 1:00pm -
  • Retirement Calculators, Assumptions and Statistical Methods
    Retirement calculators employ different assumptions to help users predict whether their rate of savings will support their current lifestyle after they quit work.
    - 22 Jul 16, 6:16pm -
  • Boomers, Gen Xers and Millennials: Catchall Groupings
    Generational groupings are attractive to academics who want to measure social and cultural change. They’re coveted by marketers looking to capitalize on evolving consumer tastes. And they appeal to others seeking to exploit the perceived psyche of…
    - 15 Jul 16, 6:02pm -
  • Economists’ Enemy: Residual Seasonality
    When seasonally adjusted numbers continue to exhibit the influences of seasonal effects, much as first-quarter readings on gross domestic product have regularly been doing, statisticians refer to it as residual seasonality. And that effect hampers se…
    - 1 Jul 16, 8:33pm -
  • How Math Helps Fight Epidemics Like Zika
    When an epidemic such as Zika threatens to sweep across the country, public-health workers and policy makers need some basic information in order to plan a strategic response to make the best use of limited resources to protect the public from the sp…
    - 3 Jun 16, 5:19pm -

Statspotting!

The Big Picture

  • !Richard Thaler: “Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics”
    Since I am in Chicago, here is an interesting video of Richard Thaler at Google Richard Thaler, co-author of Nudge, will discuss his new book, Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics. In this book, he couples recent discoveries in psychology…
    - 9 hours ago 22 Apr 18, 10:00pm -
  • !Transcript: Joel Greenblatt
      The transcript from this week’s MIB: Joel Greenblatt, Gotham Asset Mgmt is below. You can stream/download the full conversation, including the podcast extras on iTunes, Bloomberg, Overcast, and Soundcloud. Our earlier podcasts can all be fou…
    - 15 hours ago 22 Apr 18, 4:00pm -
  • !10 Sunday Reads
    My easy like Sunday morning reads: • Engineers Are Leaving Trump’s America for the Canadian Dream (Bloomberg Businessweek) • SEC Votes to Propose Stricter Broker Standards (Wall Street Journal) • What if the Future is Better Than We Thi…
    - 20 hours ago 22 Apr 18, 11:00am -
  • MIB: Joel Greenblatt, Gotham Asset Mgmt
    This week, we speak with Joel Greenblatt, co-founder of Formula Investing LLC and managing principal, co-chief investment officer and portfolio manager at Gotham Short Strategies and Gotham Asset Management LLC. He has also been a director of Pzena I…
    - 2 days ago 21 Apr 18, 2:00pm -
  • 10 Weekend Reads
    The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Komodo Dragon coffee, grab a seat on the hammock, and get ready for our longer form weekend reads: • The Quest for the Next Billion-Dollar Color (Bloomberg Businessweek) • The Dumb Money: The def…
    - 2 days ago 21 Apr 18, 11:00am -

Kaggle - No Free Hunch